【AIセンチメント分析】USDJPY 最新ニュース分析は「強気 (Bullish)」（2026-06-24 20:52時点）

最新の主要な外国為替市場（FX）ニュースを解析し、USDJPY に対する市場心理（センチメント）と影響度を判定しました。

AIによる市場センチメント解説

FRBのタカ派的な姿勢による米実質金利の上昇とドル高が主要な要因。ゴールドの下落や他通貨（インドルピー）に対するドル高傾向が、USDJPYにおけるドルの強さを裏付けている。

今回の分析対象ニュース

AIが分析対象とした直近の主要ニュース一覧です。特にセンチメント判定に大きな影響を与えたニュースには「🔥 重要」マークを表示しています。

• [Forexlive] Trump reaffirms that no money has been given to Iran yet and Hormuz will be toll-free
  <p class=”text-align-justify”>From his Truth Social post:</p><blockquote class=”text-align-justify”>”Iran has informed the U.S. that, despite troublemaking Fake News reporting to the contrary, there are “NO TOLLS, NO INSURANCE COSTS, & NO OTHER CHARGES OF ANY KIND BEING SOUGHT OR RECEIVED BY IRAN ON SHIPS TRAVELING THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. If this is false information, negotiations would end, immediately! Additionally, no money has been given to Iran, or released from their money to them, by the U.S. We will be releasing some of their money, that is totally controlled by us, to our Farmers and Ranchers, for the purchase of Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and more. Food is desperately needed in Iran, and we will be purchasing it for them exclusively from the United States. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP”</blockquote><p class=”text-align-justify”>I think the narrative is clear that Iran is not imposing any tolls outright but passage along the Strait of Hormuz is still strictly being controlled. In that lieu, we may not say for certain whether or not they are requiring vessels to pay a “fee” of sorts in order to transit through the waterway.</p><p class=”text-align-justify”>The early indications suggest that we are seeing traffic pick up in the past day but again, they are nowhere near the pre-war levels and certainly not reflecting the supposed 19 million barrels of oil that Trump claimed it to be yesterday. Pfft.</p><p class=”text-align-justify”>Kpler data suggested just 36 vessels crossed the strait in the day before and that is a far cry from the 130-140 vessels before the war. So, go figure.</p> This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.
• 🔥 重要 [Forexlive] Gold extends losses as Fed tightening risk continues to push real yields and dollar higher
  <p class=”MsoNormal”>FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW</p><p class=”MsoNormal”>Gold has extended the losses this week as the fallout from the hawkish Fed decision continues to push real yields and the US dollar higher. We haven’t got any meaningful catalysts since FOMC, so the markets continue to run by inertia. </p><p class=”MsoNormal”>As a reminder, the Fed delivered a hawkish surprise by projecting a rate hike this year (the consensus was for no cuts or hikes). The market increased rate hike bets with now 42 bps of tightening priced in by year-end. There’s a 36% chance of a hike already in July and 72% probability of a move in September.</p><p class=”MsoNormal”>The economic data and financial markets will now guide the Fed as Warsh stated that “financial markets perform best when they react to incoming data and are less efficient when they have to ask how the Federal Reserve will react to the incoming data”. He added that “financial markets are the most important source of information to guide the central bank”.</p><p class=”MsoNormal”>Trump also posted on Truth Social and, unlike his usual stance under Fed Chair Powell, did not object to the Fed’s decision. In fact, he said that “rate hikes could happen,” which sounds like a green light for Warsh and the Fed to do whatever they deem necessary.</p><p class=”MsoNormal”>The signal is that the Fed is finally looking to deliver on its price stability mandate and bring inflation back to the 2% target that it’s been missing since 2021. If the data says they need to hike, they will. This should keep weighing on gold at least until the next set of economic data. For a decent pullback, gold will need soft US data in the next weeks to trigger a dovish repricing that pushes real yields and the US dollar lower.</p><p class=”MsoNormal”>GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – DAILY TIMEFRAME</p><p>On the daily chart, we can see that gold extended the fall this week and continues to target the 3,885 level. If the price gets there, we can expect the buyers to step in with a defined risk below the level to position for a rally into the major downward trendline. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break to increase the bearish bets into the 3,500 level next.</p><p class=”MsoNormal”>GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME</p><p>On the 4 hour chart, we have a downward trendline defining the bearish momentum. If we get a pullback into the trendline, we can expect the sellers to lean on it with a defined risk above it to keep pushing into new lows. The buyers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to increase the bullish bets into the 4,600 level next. The pullback into the trendline might need soft US data in the next few weeks as that should trigger a dovish repricing leading to a drop in real yields and the US dollar.</p><p class=”MsoNormal”>GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAME</p><p>On the 1 hour chart, we have a minor downward trendline. The sellers will likely continue to lean on it with a defined risk above it to keep pushing into new lows. The buyers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to pile in for a pullback into the 4,200 level next. The red lines define the <a href=”https://investinglive.com/Education/trading-tip-know-the-average-daily-range-adr-20220207/”>average daily range</a> for today. </p><p class=”MsoNormal”>UPCOMING CATALYSTS</p><p class=”MsoNormal”><a href=”https://investinglive.com/EconomicCalendar”>Tomorrow</a>, we get the US Jobless Claims data and the US PCE report. On Friday, we conclude the week with the final University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey.</p> This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.
• [FXStreet] SNB’s Tschudin: Ready to intervene in FX market if necessary
  The comments from Swiss National Bank (SNB) policymaker Petra Tschudin released during the European trading session on Wednesday indicate that medium-term inflation pressures remain unchanged and the central bank is ready to intervene in the FX market if necessary.
• 🔥 重要 [FXStreet] Indian Rupee declines amid hawkish Fed bets, RBI pushes back rate hike fears
  The Indian Rupee (INR) trades lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, with the USD/INR pair rising to near 94.85. The pair gains as the US Dollar posts a fresh annual high amid firm expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will deliver at least two interest rate hikes this year.
• [FXStreet] Strait of Hormuz talks begin as Gulf states oppose transit fees
  Discussions on the future of the Strait of Hormuz could soon gain momentum. According to Reuters, Qatar’s Prime Minister is in Muscat on Wednesday to initiate, alongside Oman, a dialogue process involving Iran, the Gulf states and Iraq on the reopening and future operation of the strategic waterway.

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